Prediction markets have started taking bets on the next Trump cabinet member to be removed, according to reports on Tuesday.
Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer was the latest to leave the administration and now the third woman to exit President Donald Trump’s circle in recent weeks, The Daily Beast reported. Chavez-DeRemer’s ousting followed former Attorney General Pam Bondi and former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem.
Despite the pattern, online gamblers have signaled who they think could be at risk in coming weeks: two particular men and close Trump allies.
“But on Polymarket, a crypto-based online prediction marketplace, bettors are turning their attention to the boys,” according to The Beast.
As of Tuesday afternoon, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth were leading in the prediction markets as the next to exit the Trump cabinet with both around 37 percent odds.
Lutnick has faced criticism over the Justice Department’s release of the Jeffrey Epstein files — which revealed correspondence and images of the two men — amid questions about his ties to the late financier and convicted child offender. Lutnick, who was appointed by Trump, reportedly continued a relationship with Epstein long after Epstein was convicted of soliciting a minor for prostitution in Florida; this connection “did not end until at least 2018.”
Trump’s view of Hegseth, who has helped lead the Israeli-U.S. war in Iran, has apparently changed as the former Fox News host’s approval rating has plummeted to 35 percent, according to an April CNN poll. The Pentagon chief has continually faced allegations of alcohol abuse, assault and infidelity.
One male cabinet member appeared to be in a secure spot.
“The definite safest cabinet member, bettors wagered, was—unsurprisingly—Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who is rivaling Vice President JD Vance as the president’s closest confidant,” The Beast reported.
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