Over the last two weeks, Newsweek Sports Betting has broken down all four divisions in the NFC, with in-depth takes on what to expect from every team in the:
Before we turn our attention to the AFC this week, we’re compiling — and summarizing — our takes on all 16 NFC teams below.
Now, let’s get right into it.
2025 NFL Win Total Best Bets: NFC
Starting with the Eagles and the Lions, who boast the highest win totals in the conference, here’s what we recommend for all 16 NFC teams (listed in descending win total order), and why.
Philadelphia Eagles: Over 11.5 Wins (+110 at DraftKings)
My confidence in the Eagles has decreased just a bit following the concerning news on Monday that Landon Dickerson is dealing with a knee injury.
Still, I like Philadelphia’s loaded offense to continue to hum under new offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo. On the other side of the football, the Philly defense retains enough stars who are in their prime to overcome a handful of departures in free agency.
Detroit Lions: Over 10.5 Wins (+115 at FanDuel)
The Lions will miss offensive coordinator Ben Johnson and veteran interior O-linemen Frank Ragnow and Kevin Zeitler, but this offense should still be potent.
Assuming we see a full year of DPOY candidate Aidan Hutchinson and better injury luck for a unit that was ravaged in 2024, the Lions could have by far the best defense of the Dan Campbell era.
It won’t be easy to win 11 games for the third year in a row giving the key losses on this offense, but I trust Campbell and Co. to once again be a regular-season buzzsaw, at the very least.
San Francisco 49ers: Under 10.5 Wins (-110 at FanDuel)
The Niners strike me as a squad with an undeniable ceiling, but one that has several questions to answer.
The concerns start with whether San Francisco will get the best versions of offensive tackle Trent Williams and Christian McCaffrey. Will both Williams, 37, and the oft-injured CMC be 100 percent healthy for the entire year?
The Niners’ D is also a question mark after collapsing down the stretch in 2024 — though respected DC Robert Saleh could improve that unit in his first season back in the Bay after four seasons as head coach of the Jets.
Green Bay Packers: Over 9.5 Wins (-105 at bet365)
With Jordan Love entering his third season and the defense poised to be solid after an encouraging first year under coordinator Jeff Hafley in 2024, the Packers have a great chance to be one of the top teams in the NFC.
Los Angeles Rams: Over 9.5 Wins (-125 at FanDuel)
I actually recommended a bet on the Rams to go over their alt total of 10.5 wins when I broke down the NFC West, but the health of Matthew Stafford is a growing concern as we get closer to Week 1.
I’m not yet ready to completely flip-flop on my optimism for this squad, but I can’t deny that taking the Rams to win at least 10 games is a big risk while we wait to see what version of Stafford this team will have.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over 9.5 Wins (EVEN at FanDuel)
Personnel-wise, the Bucs didn’t lose much from last year’s roster.
I’m confident in Baker Mayfield continuing his resurgence on an offense with a good, young OL, a dynamic second-year RB in Bucky Irving and a good group of pass-catchers that added former Ohio State star Emeka Egbuka in the 2025 NFL Draft.
Todd Bowles’ Bucs should also once again be solid defensively, especially if they get a full season from star safety Antoine Winfield Jr.
Washington Commanders: (Alt) Over 8.5 Wins (-180 at FanDuel)
Right now, I’d play the Commanders’ win total market safe in case things go (further) sideways with Terry McLaurin.
Star QB Jayden Daniels alone initially struck me as enough to back this team to win at least 10 games, but the schedule is brutal, and that makes this a tough team to handicap.
Minnesota Vikings: Over 8.5 Wins (-135 at FanDuel)
There’s a ton to like about this team, especially the Brian Flores-led defense.
But I’m not convinced the inexperienced JJ McCarthy will be good enough in his first year as the starter to lead the Vikes back to the playoffs. With that in mind, I recommend a safe (but admittedly expensive) play on Minnesota — which won 13, 7 and 14 games, respectively, the last three years — staying respectable and getting to at least 9-8.
Chicago Bears: Under 8.5 Wins (-135 at DraftKings)
This is one of the toughest squads in the league to figure out right now.
New head coach Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams could be a dangerous combo, but only if the overhauled interior of the Chicago O-line ends up living up to expectations.
The Bears have a ton of intriguing pieces, but there are too many unknowns for me to back them to win more than eight games in the brutal NFC North. I also like Under 8.5 wins given that this team hasn’t finished above .500 since 2018.
Arizona Cardinals: Under 8.5 Wins (+105 at FanDuel)
Like the Bears, the Cardinals are A) projected to win about half of their games and B) hard to figure out.
The young Arizona defense quietly held up pretty well in 2024, and it should be better this year. Ultimately, though, I’m just not sold on Kyler Murray being good enough week in and week out to bet on this team to win nine games.
Murray is entering his seventh NFL season. This team has gone under 8.5 wins in all but one season (2021). That makes it hard for me to buy in on Murray and Co.
Atlanta Falcons: (Alt) Over 7.5 Wins (-140 at DraftKings)
The Falcons should be too potent offensively to win fewer than eight games, period.
Whether second-year QB Michael Penix Jr. plays well enough for this talented offense to realize its potential will go a long way in determining whether they return to the playoffs for the first time since 2017.
But the bigger question is whether Atlanta will finally have an above-average defense to complement the offense.
I’m not convinced this team’s offseason acquisitions of free agent Leonard Floyd and rookies Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. will fix the pass rush, but in a weak NFC South, I feel comfortable betting on the Falcons to get to at least eight wins.
Seattle Seahawks: Over 7.5 Wins (-130 at FanDuel)
Sportsbooks are split on the ‘Hawks, with some setting their over/under at 8.5 and others going with 7.5
I could see this going either way, as there’s a low floor if the much-maligned Seattle OL fails to give Sam Darnold time to throw.
That being said, it’s hard to unsee how well this defense played down the stretch in 2024 after injuries plagued that unit early in the season. Remember, the Seahawks gave up just over 18 ppg in their final eight games last year.
I expect that unit to be even better in Year 2 under Mike Macdonald, who is one of the top defensive minds in the league. There’s also enough offensive talent around Darnold that I’m in on this team — which went 9-8 or better in each of the last three seasons — getting to at least eight wins.
Dallas Cowboys: Under 7.5 Wins (+135 at DraftKings)
The more I read about the ugly standoff between this franchise and its best player, Micah Parsons, the more I struggle to see the Cowboys competing in the NFC East.
I still don’t see Parsons playing for another team this year, but he’s hardly a lock to be on the field for the ‘Boys for all 17 games.
This offense should be able to push the ball downfield with Dak Prescott back under center and George Pickens making it tougher for defenses to double-team CeeDee Lamb, but the O-line and running game are major question marks.
Based on what we know on August 11, Dallas to go under 7.5 wins seems like a great bet, particularly at shorter than +130 odds.
Carolina Panthers: Over 6.5 Wins (-130 at FanDuel)
I’m buying what I saw from Bryce Young down the stretch of 2024, particularly in Weeks 16-18.
Carolina is a risky team to back given how bad it was defensively last year, but it bolstered the D-line with several under-the-radar moves in free agency, and Derrick Brown should provide a massive boost up front if he’s healthy.
If Young plays like he did last December, Carolina could easily be .500 or better in Year 2 under head coach Dave Canales.
New York Giants: Over 5.5 Wins (+110 at bet365)
The Giants project to be so good on the D-line that they could win six games even if the rest of the roster struggles.
I don’t think team will win more than seven games with Russell Wilson/Jameis Winston/Jaxson Dart under center, but I do like it to get to at least 6-11.
New Orleans Saints: (Alt) Under 4.5 Wins (+145 at bet365)
The Saints have a first-year head coach in Kellen Moore, what looks like a nightmare quarterback situation (whether it’s Spencer Rattler or Tyler Shough who wins the job) and a number of other major flaws.
If there’s one team in the NFL that I can’t see having even a decent season, right now, it’s this one.
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