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James Carville warns ‘earthquake’ in red state runoff could determine Trump’s fate

June 24, 2026
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James Carville warns ‘earthquake’ in red state runoff could determine Trump’s fate

Veteran political strategist James Carville flagged an upcoming runoff as a potential “earthquake” on Trump’s grip on his base.

During an episode of the Politics War Room, Carville said that the June 27 runoff for a Senate seat in his home state of Louisiana “is a potential huge earthquake” for Trump.

The runoff is part of the race to replace Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA), who lost in May after Trump endorsed an opposing GOP candidate. Cassidy drew Trump’s ire after voting to convict him at his second impeachment trial.

The Trump-endorsed Rep. Julia Letlow (R-LA) is running against Louisiana State Treasurer John Fleming. Carville argued that a Fleming victory would be a huge blow to Trump’s command of the GOP.

“If Fleming were to win, which most people I talked to think is a possibility, that’s an earthquake,” Carville said. “That’s an earthquake. That’s in Louisiana. That’s a hardcore red state, as you can imagine. That’s Trump going all out for one candidate and getting beaten in his own base.”

Carville described Fleming as “a real, real right-winger for a long time,” and predicted that Fleming would attract “all the people that voted for Clay Higgins (R-LA),” referring to the hardline MAGA congressman.

“All of them, the most intense Clay Higgins people are all going to be for John Fleming, I can tell you,” Carville predicted. “Just watch the race Saturday, and if Fleming wins that, I don’t know how else you could interpret that but that Trump’s just losing his grip on his base.”

The post James Carville warns ‘earthquake’ in red state runoff could determine Trump’s fate appeared first on Raw Story.

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