President Donald Trump’ssupporters are spreading a flurry of conspiracy theories about mail ballots after MAGA-aligned reality star Spencer Pratt was eliminated from the Los Angeles mayoral primary race — but he never had a chance, election data analyst Harry Enten told CNN’s Kaitlan Collins on Monday evening.
“Harry, can you tell us what the numbers actually are and what we are looking at in places like L.A.?” asked Collins.
Enten started off by acknowledging “we would rather the system be that the votes were counted faster in California.” But the fact remains, he continued, “this is … the dumbest conspiracy theory I’ve ever heard.”
For starters, he said, this wasn’t even the outcome the Democratic establishment in L.A. wanted. Incumbent mayor Karen Bass “wanted to face Spencer Pratt, for the simple reason that she would easily beat him. You could look at the runoff polls, right? [City Councilwoman] Nithya Raman actually is ahead of Karen Bass. Spencer Pratt was nearly 20 points behind Karen Bass.”
Indeed, he noted, net favorability polls show Bass “is greatly unpopular,” but that Pratt “might be the one person in the [entirety of] Los Angeles who is running for mayor, who is less popular than she was. He would have been a God-given gift to her if she, in fact, faced him in the runoff.” This is further underscored, he said, by the fact that Trump, whom Pratt heavily attached himself to, is down around 55 points in the city.
“What a surprise … that a Republican is struggling in a city in which just 15 percent of the registered voters in that city are Republican,” concluded Enten. “This isn’t a conspiracy. It’s simple math.”
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