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Markets Wary as U.S. and Iran Edge Closer to Agreement

May 29, 2026
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Markets Wary as U.S. and Iran Edge Closer to Agreement

Oil prices and stock markets traded warily on Friday on tentative signs that the United States and Iran were nearing a preliminary agreement to end the war.

Negotiators were discussing a new memorandum of understanding that appeared close to winning approval from both sides, although disagreements remained over several key provisions. One major hurdle was the status of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical trading route for oil and gas tankers from the Middle East.

The potential breakthrough followed a volatile week in which U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged sporadic fire, highlighting the risks of renewed escalation as well as the fragility of the current truce.

Oil prices fluctuate.

  • The price of Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, wavered between small gains and declines, trading between $92 and $93 a barrel for August delivery, currently the most heavily traded contract.

  • West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, was down slightly to just under $89 a barrel for July delivery, currently its most popular contract.

Stocks gain.

  • Futures on the S&P 500 pointed to a modest increase when stocks resume trading in the United States on Friday. The index has set fresh record highs in recent days and is on track for its ninth consecutive weekly gain.

  • Stocks in Asia, where countries import vast quantities of oil and gas, were mostly higher. South Korea’s benchmark KOSPI jumped 3.5 percent, while stock markets in Japan and Taiwan rose more than 2 percent.

  • In Europe, stocks rose. The Stoxx 600, a broad-index that tracks the region’s largest companies, edged higher.

Gasoline prices fall.

  • Gas prices fell again on Friday, sliding four cents to a national average of $4.39 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club. The increase has raised the cost for drivers by 47 percent since the war began.

  • Gas prices don’t move in lock step with crude, usually trailing increases or drops by a few days.

  • The average price of diesel fell to $5.52 on Friday, up 47 percent since the start of the war.

The post Markets Wary as U.S. and Iran Edge Closer to Agreement appeared first on New York Times.

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