The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has issued an update on what to expect over the remainder of the Atlantic hurricane season, with peak activity historically taking place between mid-August and mid-October.
Why It Matters
Earlier this year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, with between 13 and 18 named storms, of which five to nine could become hurricanes, including between two and five major hurricanes.
What To Know
“You’ve probably noticed that the tropics are quiet as we near the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season,” senior hurricane specialist Brad Reinhart said in a video from the agency shared on social media, Tuesday.
“There’s been a lot of dry air that’s been limiting thunderstorm activity. However, history tells us that about 60 percent of the season’s activity occurs after the peak, so we’re not out of the woods yet.”
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is September 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October.
“Looking ahead, late season activity typically occurs over the western half of the Atlantic Basin,” said hurricane specialist Andrew Hagen.
“Last year, there were three U.S. landfalling hurricanes after the typical peak of the hurricane season and two of them were major hurricane landfalls—Hurricane Helene on September 26 and Hurricane Milton on October 9.”
September 10 is the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. It’s been relatively quiet in the tropics lately, but in this video, Senior Hurricane Specialist Brad Reinhart and Hurricane Specialist Andrew Hagen explain how 60% of activity typically occurs after… pic.twitter.com/oJiqxRYnnZ
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 9, 2025
Six named systems have occurred in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season so far: Andrea, Barry, Chantal, Dexter, Erin, and Fernand, Erin reaching major hurricane status.
What People Are Saying
The National Hurricane Center said in a post on X, Sunday: “Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the Atlantic during the next 7 days.
“Yes, you read that correctly, even with the normal peak of the hurricane season just 3 days away! But that doesn’t mean things can’t change quickly. As always, monitor http://hurricanes.gov for the latest.”
Meteorologist Matt Devitt said on X, Tuesday: “If a storm doesn’t develop Wednesday in the Atlantic, it would be only the 9th time since 1950 without a named storm at the peak of hurricane season (September 10th). Worth noting in the other featured years their seasons finished either below or near average.”
What Happens Next
Meanwhile in the Pacific, Tropical Storm Kiko, formerly a hurricane, was forecast to pass north of the Hawaiian Islands Tuesday night and Wednesday.
“Additional weakening is expected, and the threat of direct impacts on the islands continues to diminish, though interests should still monitor Kiko’s progress and the latest forecasts,” it said.
The Atlantic and Pacific hurricane seasons both run through November 30.
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