President Donald Trump‘s approval rating with Hispanics has plunged to a near two-month low, a new poll from The Economist and YouGov shows.
Why It Matters
Hispanic voters are a sizable and fast-growing electorate whose preferences can swing close races. Recent polling indicates Hispanic attitudes toward Trump have softened amid an aggressive immigration enforcement agenda and mixed economic signals.
Though Hispanic voters have historically leaned Democratic, they played a pivotal role in Trump’s 2024 win.
What To Know
The Economist/YouGov poll released on Wednesday showed the president’s approval rating among Hispanics is 27 percent, compared to a 70 percent disapproval rating with the group. Trump’s overall approval rating stands at 41 percent, compared to a 55 percent disapproval rating.
The poll surveyed 1,691 U.S. adult citizens from August 29 to September 2 with a 3.4 percent margin of error.
The president’s recent approval ratings among the key demographic have not dipped below 27 percent since a poll taken from July 4 to July 7, when they reached 26 percent. That poll surveyed 1,528 U.S. adult citizens and had a 4 percent margin of error.
Trump’s approval rating among Hispanics slipped to 25 percent in an April poll conducted by the pollster, with a 3.4 percent margin of error.
The dip in approval among Hispanic voters isn’t surprising, according to D. Stephen Voss, a political science professor at the University of Kentucky.
“Trump won disproportionate support from Hispanics in 2024, compared to previous presidential contests. Fluctuations like that rarely hold from election to election. Quantitative analysts have a term for this phenomenon: regression toward the mean. It manifests itself in pop culture form rather than just in serious form: the Sports Illustrated curse or the John Madden curse,” Voss told Newsweek, referring to the superstition that appearing on the cover of Sports Illustrated or a Madden game would hurt an NFL player’s performance.
“Even before Trump took office, my best guess would have been that Trump’s Hispanic support would come back down to earth, especially if Trump did not take active steps to consolidate his newfound popularity with that voting group,” Voss said.
What People Are Saying
Charlie Kirk, CEO and founder of Turning Point USA, on X in August: “President Trump’s approval rating surged 5% in the last month to his best approval rating ever in the AP-NORC poll. The surge coincides with his tough on crime takeover of DC. Why? Because 81% of Americans think urban crime is a major problem. Democrats are in denial.”
D. Stephen Voss, a political science professor at the University of Kentucky, told Newsweek: “It may be impossible to identify which issue or issues led to Trump’s decline, because the drop might be more about what Trump didn’t do rather than about anything he did.”
What Happens Next
Polling shifts among Hispanic voters could affect competitive state outcomes and messaging for both parties heading into the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential cycle.
Analysts and pollsters are expected to watch whether declines stabilize, reverse, or accelerate as immigration enforcement actions persist and economic indicators evolve.
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