Forecasters are continuing to monitor a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, which meteorologists have indicated has the potential to develop into Tropical Storm Gabrielle.
Why It Matters
If the disturbance were to strengthen into a named storm, it would become the seventh named system of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration previously forecast an above-normal Atlantic season, with the agency predicting a range of 13 to 19 named storms. Of these, between six and 10 are expected to become hurricanes, including three to five major ones.
What To Know
In an update on Tuesday morning, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) gave the disturbance, located south of the Cabo Verde islands, a 60 percent chance of cyclone formation through seven days—an increase from the 40 percent probability reported a day prior.
“Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or latter part of this week,” it said.
The system is expected to move west to west-northwest at roughly 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic this week.
The NHC defines a cyclone as “a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation.”
They are categorized by wind speed: tropical depressions have maximum sustained winds of 38 mph or less; tropical storms range from 39 to 73 mph; and hurricanes reach 74 mph or higher, according to the agency.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Kiko, located in the Pacific, strengthened to become a hurricane, the NHC said on Tuesday. No coastal watches or warnings were immediately in effect, according to the agency.
What People Are Saying
AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek on Monday: “AccuWeather hurricane experts continue to forecast a medium risk for tropical development off the west coast of Africa during the middle to latter portions of this week. The dates we are concerned about are September 4-6 for development.
“Due to large amounts of dry air, any development would likely be gradual, however it is possible that this area could strengthen into a hurricane this weekend or early next week. If this occurs, it would be the second hurricane of the season for the Atlantic.”
Meteorologist Bob Jeswald said in a post on X, Monday: “The latest Tropical Atlantic Forecast wave on Labor Day evening is growing in confidence that this wave will likely develop into an organized storm over the next several days. The next named storm will be Gabrielle.”
What Happens Next
The NHC issues regular updates on its website and social media channels.
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