The top-ranked players in men’s tennis — No. 1 Jannik Sinner and No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz — will meet in a final with a Grand Slam trophy on the line for the second time in as many months on Centre Court on Sunday morning.
The Wimbledon men’s final between three-time Grand Slam winner Sinner and Alcaraz (a five-time Grand Slam champ) comes less than two months after Alcaraz stormed back from a huge deficit to win the French Open in five sets on June 8.
Top-seeded Sinner took down Ben Shelton in the quarterfinals and Djokovic in the semis to reach Sunday’s Wimbledon final.
Alcaraz, the 2-seed in this competition, cruised past Cam Norrie in three sets in the quarterfinals, but needed four sets to beat American Taylor Fritz in a hard-fought semifinal battle on Friday.
Entering Wimbledon, Alcaraz and Sinner unsurprisingly had the shortest odds to win the men’s trophy: ESPN BET listed Alcaraz at +120 and Sinner at +190 before this tournament got underway.
Sunday’s final guarantees that either Alcaraz or Sinner will have won seven consecutive Grand Slams and eight of the last nine. Novak Djokovic was the last player besides either of these two to win a Grand Slam (2023 U.S. Open).
In 2024, Alcaraz won the French Open and Wimbledon, while Sinner took the Australian and U.S. Opens, and this year, Sinner won Down Under before falling to Alcaraz in the final at Roland Garros.
Wimbledon Men’s Final Betting Odds
As you can see below, multiple oddsmakers literally see Sunday’s match as a coin flip, while DraftKings and BetMGM give Sinner the slight edge.
Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Moneyline Odds
The moneyline odds below from bet365, DraftKings, BetMGM and FanDuel are up-to-date as of Saturday night (East Coast time).
Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Total Games Odds
The Over/Under on total games for this match is set at 41.5.
- bet365: 41.5 (o-110; u-125)
- DK: 41.5 (o-115; u-115)
- BetMGM: 41.5 (o-140; u+100)
- FD: 41.5 (o-120; u-110)
It’s also possible to bet on how many sets this match will go. At bet365, this match is +175 to go 3 sets, +150 to go 4 sets and +175 to go 5 sets.
DK prices the total sets (3 way) market as follows: 3 sets (+180), 4 sets (+150), 5 sets (+180).
How To Watch Wimbledon Men’s Final
- Start time: 11 a.m. ET
- TV: ESPN/ESPN+
Sinner vs. Alcaraz Analysis, Pick, Best Bets
Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Head-To-Head Results
The 23-year-old Sinner and Alcaraz, 22, have already met 12 times in their young careers. Alcaraz has gone 8-4 in those meetings. A win tomorrow would be Alcaraz’s sixth consecutive head-to-head triumph over the Italian.
Of the 12 previous Sinner vs. Alcaraz clashes, four came at Grand Slam tournaments. Alcaraz lost to Sinner in the round of 16 at Wimbledon 2022, but beat him at the U.S. Open quarterfinals in 2022, the French Open semifinals in 2024 and this year’s French Open final.
Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz Injury News
Another key factor in this match will be Sinner’s health after he suffered an elbow injury in his fourth-round win vs. Grigor Dimitrov, but appeared unbothered in the quarterfinals and semifinals.
Alcaraz is not dealing with any injury issues.
Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Best Bets
Sinner has been impressive in London this week, particularly in his three-set semifinal win over Djokovic on Friday (6-3, 6-3, 6-4). It’s hard to argue with Alcaraz given his recent head-to-head dominance of Sinner, though.
The fact Alcaraz has already won two Wimbledon finals (he took down Djokovic in the 2023 and 2024 Wimbledon finals) is another good reason to back the Spaniard.
How both players start this match will be fascinating to watch after Sinner won the first two sets at Roland Garros before Alcaraz rallied to win.
We’re splitting hairs here, but I have to pick between these two, I like Alcaraz, especially at close to even money.
The other bet I like in this match is it to go the distance.
Best bets:
- Carlos Alcaraz moneyline (-105 at DK, BetMGM) — 1 unit
- Total sets: 5 (+180 at DK) — 0.5 units
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