For soccer fans tuning into today’s Champions League Final between PSG and Inter Milan, there are plenty of intriguing markets, including who will win and how many goals will be scored, to name just a few.
But there also a slew of great options on the player props front, and neither of these teams lacks star power, making these fun markets to target in the biggest club soccer match of the year.
K. Kvaratskhelia 3+ Shots (-125 at bet365) — 1 unit
While Ousmane Dembele has notched either a goal or an assist in each of PSG’s last five Champions League matches, his teammate on the left wing, 24-year-old Georgian star Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, offers more value on the shots on target and shots markets.
Kvaratskhelia is currently available at -130 to register three shots, and this feels like a safe way to get the prop bet party started this afternoon.
In six UCL knockout round matches against tough Premier League competition (Liverpool in the round of 16, Aston Villa in the quarters and Arsenal in the semis), Kvaratskhelia has taken at least three shots five times, including three games when he was credited with exactly five shots (in both Legs 1 and 2 vs. Liverpool, and in Leg 1 vs. Aston Villa).
With Inter Milan likely conceding possession for most of this match, I expect Kvaratskhelia, who is already one of the most dangerous dribblers in the world, to stay busy. Two other things worth mentioning here:
- 1) The great thing about this prop is that shots do not have to be on target to count.
- 2) This is one of the best examples that you’ll see Re: the importance of line-shopping. The fact that this prop is priced at -220 at FanDuel makes it that much harder to resist at this price.
O. Dembele Goal or Assist (+110 at DK) — 0.75u
Though Dembele isn’t our favorite value player on the shots market, he’s awfully enticing at plus-money to either score or give an assist.
As we mentioned earlier, he’s cashed this in five straight UCL matches, even though he only played 21 minutes as a sub in Leg 2 of the semifinals vs. Arsenal. But he’s also had either a goal or assist in 9/14 Champions League games this year.
If there’s one player on either team who is most likely to have a goal involvement, it’s a no-brainer for us to go with the guy that has piled up 12 total goals/assists in 14 UCL matches this year, not to mention his staggering haul of 27 total G/A in 29 Ligue 1 matches.
D. Dumfries Goal or Assist (+340 at DK) — 0.25u
Let’s close this out with a small, high-upside swing on the single-biggest reason Inter were able to upset Barcelona in the semis: speedy right back Denzel Dumfries.
The Dutch star lit Barca up for two goals and one assist in Leg 1 of the Inter-Barcelona. He added two assists in Leg 2.
This is a longshot because those are the only two Champions League matches this year when he tallied either a goal or assist, but keep in mind that he had a solid seven goals and two assists in 29 appearances in Serie A this year.
PSG left back Nuno Mendes has been huge throughout his team’s run, and he’ll challenge Dumfries today in that individual matchup. But after what we saw from Dumfries over Inter’s last 180-plus minutes of action, he’s still well worth a sprinkle at longer than +300 to add another goal or assist this afternoon.
Ousmane Dembele Ballon D’or Odds
For PSG, Dembele has had a career year in his age-27 season. With 21 goals and 6 assists in 29 Ligue 1 matches, plus 8 goals and 4 assists in 14 UCL contests, Dembele has a real chance to win the 2025 Ballon d’Or, regardless of what happens in this match.
As of Saturday morning, oddsmakers including bet365 see Dembele as just the slight second-favorite behind Barcelona superstar Lamine Yamal.
But if betting favorites PSG win this match and/or Dembele comes through with a key goal or assist, it’s hard to imagine his odds staying put anywhere near the current price of +162 (bet365).
So, before today’s game gets underway, consider a small play on Dembele to win the Ballon d’Or at longer than +150.
This year’s Ballon d’Or winner will be announced in September.
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