WASHINGTON — House Speaker Mike Johnson is trying to avoid the same fate that his predecessor, Kevin McCarthy, experienced two years ago: an embarrassing, drawn-out floor fight for the speaker’s gavel.
A small band of right-wing rabble-rousers are threatening to derail Johnson’s bid Friday to retain the speakership. It typically would be a difficult task to take on an incumbent speaker. But Republicans hold such a paper-thin majority in the new 119th Congress that just two GOP defectors could block Johnson, R-La., from winning the top job for another two years.
Three days ago, Johnson received a big boost when President-elect Donald Trump publicly gave the Louisiana Republican his “Complete & Total Endorsement,” arguing that Johnson’s election would help the GOP-controlled Congress execute his 2025 agenda. The speaker spent New Year’s Day with Trump at his Florida club, Mar-a-Lago.
But Johnson has already lost one GOP vote; Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., has taken to X to rally his colleagues against Johnson, whom he blames for striking deals on government spending, Ukraine aid, and renewal of a powerful surveillance program known as FISA Section 702.
Lawmakers said the unpredictable Rep. Victoria Spartz, R-Ind., is also someone to watch; she has not committed to backing the speaker and is seeking some assurances.
“I respect and support President Trump, but his endorsement of Mike Johnson is going to work out about as well as his endorsement of Speaker Paul Ryan,” Massie wrote on X before the New Year. “We’ve seen Johnson partner with the democrats to send money to Ukraine, authorize spying on Americans, and blow the budget.”
For his part, Johnson is expressing confidence that he’ll retain the gavel in the public roll call set for noon Friday — the first vote of the new Congress when each House member present must verbally cast their vote for speaker.
Democrats are expected to vote for Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries of New York. And nearly all Republicans are expected to cast their vote for Johnson, who won his party’s nomination for speaker shortly after the Nov. 5 election.
During an appearance on Fox News Thursday, Johnson touted Trump’s endorsement and warned that any political games with the speakership could delay Congress’ certification of Trump’s election victory on Monday, Jan. 6. The Louisianan also suggested that the House could not afford to delay organizing itself in the new Congress due to national security threats like the deadly New Year’s Day attack in New Orleans.
The first House vote of the new Congress is the vote to elect the speaker, and no other business can get done until the lower chamber chooses its leader. That means House committees can’t be organized, bills can’t be introduced and other votes can’t happen.
“We will get this done. Look, the things that we’re talking about this morning are an illustration that we live in very serious times. We cannot afford any palace drama here. We have got to get the Congress started, which begins tomorrow, and we have to get immediately to work,” Johnson said on Fox News.
“We have to certify the election of President Donald J Trump on January 6, on Monday. And we have many important things pressing on us right now, so there’s no time to waste. We have to stay unified.”
Johnson is facing a similar math problem that McCarthy faced just two years ago when a small bloc of conservative rebels — led by then-Rep. Matt Gaetz, R-Fla. — teamed with Democrats to prevent McCarthy from winning the gavel. It took 15 rounds of voting over multiple days, and personal phone calls from Trump, to convince the Gaetz group to stand down.
Because of his own small majority, McCarthy would only narrowly win the speakership. But just 269 days later, Gaetz worked with Democrats again to topple McCarthy, sparking a no-holds-barred battle to succeed him which drew all House business to a standstill for three weeks.
In the end, Johnson, then the congenial No. 7 GOP leader in the House with no known enemies, was unanimously elected speaker after more senior-ranking leaders tried and failed.
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