Sen. Ted Cruz has a double-digit lead over his Democratic rival in the race for the Texas Senate seat, according to a poll.
A Remington Research Group survey, cited by The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, of 589 likely voters showed that Cruz is beating Rep. Colin Allred by 10-points (53 percent to 43) ahead of November’s election.
The result is a boost for Cruz’s election hopes, with two recent surveys suggesting the Republican was only enjoying low single digits leads of Allred.
Earlier this month, a Manhattan Institute survey of 600 likely voters in Texas found that Cruz has a three-point lead (46 percent to 43 percent) over Allred. In June, a University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research survey of 931 likely voters also gave Cruz just a three-point lead over Allred (45 percent to 42 percent).
Cruz is considered the strong favorite to win reelection to the Texas Senate seat in November. Election forecasters Race to the White House are giving Cruz a 77 percent chance of winning November’s Texas Senate race, with Allred estimated to have a 23 percent chance.
Mark Jones, professor of political science and fellow in political science at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy in Texas, previously suggested that Cruz is not making the same mistake he did in 2018 by not considering his Democratic challenger a threat until it was too late.
In 2018, Cruz won reelection to the Senate for the first time following a fiercely competitive race with former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke by just over 2.6 points.
“In 2024, Cruz won’t be fooled again,” Jones told Newsweek. “He is treating Allred seriously from day one, and will also be working throughout the year to prevent Allred from presenting himself to moderate Republicans and independents as a pragmatic centrist in an effort to peel off Republican and independents voters who presently favor Cruz.”
Cruz’s and Allred’s offices have been contacted for comment via email.
Elsewhere, the Remington Research Group poll, conducted in the wake of the CNN presidential debate, showed that Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in five swing states of Arizona (49 percent to 42), Michigan (45 percent to 42), Nevada (47 percent to 40), Pennsylvania (48 percent to 43) and Wisconsin (49 percent to 43), as well as in Texas (49 percent to 39).
Biden has faced ongoing pressure, including from his own party, to withdraw from the 2024 election following his worrying and stumbling performance in the June 27 debate.
“Democrats are either ignoring or failing to grasp that it’s far more than a bad debate performance that is unpopular with voters,” Republican political strategist Chris Pack told The Daily Wire.
“It has been and continues to be the extreme policies of the Biden-Harris administration that is their largest vulnerability, such as their radical mandate to ban gas-powered vehicles.”
Uncommon Knowledge
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Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.
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