WATERTOWN, Wis. — In its first presidential-election survey since Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts, Marquette Law School Poll found the former president and President Biden in a dead heat among Wisconsin registered voters — but one has a slight edge among likely voters.
Conducted from June 12 to 20, the poll found the rivals right at 50-50 with registered voters.
But among likely voters, Biden comes in with a 2-point lead over Trump in the battleground state going into tonight’s debate at 51% to 49%.
Marquette Law’s last poll of Badger State voters was in April, before Trump’s convictions, when the former president led Biden by 2 points among both registered and likely voters.
When all six presidential candidates are included, Robert Kennedy Jr. gets 8%, Trump 43% and Biden 40%.
Thirteen percent of Republican registered voters and 98% of Democratic registered voters believe Trump is guilty of the 34 charges he was convicted on last month; 54% of independents believe he’s guilty.
Not one of Wisconsin registered Democratic voters in the poll believe Trump is innocent, compared with 72% of Republicans and 28% of independents.
In the Senate race, Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin, who polls ahead of Biden in Wisconsin, leads Republican opponent Eric Hovde by 5 points, 52% to 47% among both registered and likely voters.
Hovde’s team noted the nearly 5-point margin of error in the poll and pointed The Post to last week’s Emerson poll that showed a 3-point gap between Baldwin and Hovde.
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