UPDATED, Saturday AM Writethru after Friday PM post, refresh for more analysis: Where’s a wide expansion of Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery when you need it? Expect a greater subtraction of dollars at this weekend’s office as the Rian Johnson-directed whodunit goes dark until December 23. Disney/Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda Forever came in with a $4.4M yesterday, just below industry projections of $4.7 million-$5M, which is will result in a $15M-$16M+ fourth weekend No. 1 win at 3,855 theaters. Even if the movie hits the high end, it won’t cross $400M just yet — but it’s getting there. Expect around $392M+ running total by Sunday.
Universal’s Violent Night from 87North, thriftly priced at $20M with a Vancouver tax credit, is currently hitting the middle of its projection with $11.87M after winning Friday with $4.86M Friday at 3,682. The movie gets a B+ CinemaScore and 76% positive on Comscore/Screen Engine’s Posttrak. Rotten Tomatoes critics score increased to 70% fresh with audiences now giving it an 89%. Hopefully there’s a carryover of that yuletide cheer into tonight. Demos were 63% guys, 57% between 18-34, and diversity demos of 52% Caucasian, 27% Latino and Hispanic, 9% Black, and 12% Asian/other. West and Southwest delivered six of the top ten runs. Those PLF and Imax screens which the movie had repped close to a third of the pic’s ticket sales so far.
Third place is going to Disney’s Strange World at 4,174 locations with $1.08M Friday and a second weekend of $4.4M, off 62%, for a running total of $25M. Still bad. Searchlight’s The Menu is next with $1M in its third Friday and an estimated $3.6M third weekend, -33%, and a running $24.7M cume. Fifth goes to Sony/Black Label’s Devotion at 3,405 with a second Friday of $830K, and second weekend of $2.8M, -53% estimated, for a running total of $13.7M.
Also in the marketplace is the re-release of the highest grossing movie of the year, Top Gun: Maverick with $180K at 1,864 theaters, boosted by Imax and PLF, for a projected $600K weekend and a new revised total by EOD Sunday of $717.7M.
On the limited side, there’s Michael Showalter’s Spoiler Alert in six theaters in NY, LA and San Francisco which did $46K yesterday for a projected 30day of $85K or $14K theater average. The movie is written by David Marshall Grant, Dan Savage and Michael Ausiello, based on Ausiello’s memoir Spoiler Alert: The Hero Dies, it stars Jim Parsons, Ben Aldridge and Sally Field. NY’s Lincoln Square and LA’s The Grove were the best of the bunch for this movie which received 64% from critics on Rotten Tomatoes
Remember, we’re in a slow period of the month until Avatar: The Way of Water on December 16, but it’s even worse this year without any wide release family product. Meaning, in pre-pandemic times we had Jumanji: The Next Level and Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse teeing up business before the big year-end Disney Star Wars movie arrived. No major studio wide entries next weekend. Overall ticket sales look to be $50.3M, off 4% from the same period a year ago, and down 41% from last weekend. Ugh.
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PREVIOULSY, Friday AM: Universal and 87North’s action horror pic Violent Night is off to a healthy start with $1.1M previews last night. Hopefully this movie will give the weekend box office a pulse and overperform which is typically a slow period post Thanksgiving, and even worse given the fact that the marketplace is still in rebuild.
Pic fired off previews at 5PM at 3,000 theaters. Projections are $10M-$12M for Violent Night, but it’s set to get beat by Disney/Marvel Studio’s Black Panther: Wakanda Forever with a $17M-$25M fourth weekend win. Preview comps to Violent Night include Jackass Forever ($1.65M preview, $23.1M opening), The Menu ($1M previews, $9M opening) and The Northman ($1.35M preview, $12.2M opening). The David Harbour Santa takes revenge and matters into his own hands movie had its trailer amass over 115M views worldwide.
Wakanda Forever won the week with $54.2M in its third go-round and a running total of $376.1M. The pic made $1.8M yesterday at 4,290.
Fathom Events had the Joshua Enck directed title I Heard the Bells about the writing of the Christmas carol and its author Henry Wadsworth Longfellow; the pic was second on Thursday with $770K at 1,110 locations.
Disney’s Strange World ended its first week with $13.8M, a running total of $20.6M; the pic was 5th yesterday with an estimated $396K.
Sony and Black Label’s Devotion made $7.9M in third place for the week, was 4th on Thursday with $421K, and a running total of $11M.
Searchlight’s The Menu was fourth for the week with $7.7M, a third place Thursday of $514K, and a running total of $21.1M, 7% behind the 14-day running total of Searchlight’s genre movie Ready or Not.
UAR‘s Bones and All was 5th for the week with $3.3M, a $4.8M running total and a Thursday of $238k.
Netflix’s Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery left theaters EOD Tuesday. Pic per industry estimates went out with a bang with a $1.1M take that day, +26% from its $854K Monday. The Rian Johnson directed movie’s first week wrapped up with $14.7M. The pic will return to theaters after it debuts on Netflix, Dec. 23.
Indian-Telugu mystery thriller Hit: The Second Case started showtimes yesterday with an estimated $244K at 255 theaters.
The post ‘Wakanda Forever’ Rules Sleepy Post-Thanksgiving Frame With $15M+, ‘Violent Night’ Targets Near $12M Opening – Saturday Box Office Update appeared first on Deadline.
