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Japan’s Leader Is Set for a Big Election Win. Here’s What to Know.

February 8, 2026
in News
Japan’s Leader Makes a Bold Election Bet. Here’s What to Know.

Sanae Takaichi made history last fall when she became the first woman to lead Japan as prime minister. Then, after just over 100 days in office, she made her biggest bet yet by calling a snap election in a bid to capitalize on her popularity.

It paid off. After polls closed on Sunday, Ms. Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party was projected to win an absolute majority in the House of Representatives, the lower house of Japan’s bicameral Parliament. That will give her the ability to fast-track her priorities.

Ms. Takaichi is emerging as a powerful figure at a precarious moment for Japan. The country is caught up in a feud with China, which has taken actions that are hurting Japan’s economy, and faces the unpredictable foreign policy of the United States under President Trump.

A Resurgent Right Wing

Ms. Takaichi has energized right-wing groups with promises to tighten immigration and build a “strong and prosperous” Japan. She shares the conservative vision of her mentor, Shinzo Abe, Japan’s longest-serving prime minister, who was assassinated in 2022 after he had left office.

After her win on Sunday, Ms. Takaichi is poised to push the country even further to the right. She has promised to increase military spending, to strengthen Japan’s security laws and to reduce the cost of living. She could push other changes long sought by conservatives, including enacting an anti-espionage law and amending a pacifist clause in the Constitution to unfetter Japan’s military.

“We must restore Japan’s backbone,” Ms. Takaichi said in a recent campaign video.

Seizing on Popularity

Ms. Takaichi, 64, is a rare figure in modern politics: a popular leader. She has inspired memes, murals and a variety of products, including folding fans and cookies.

Her approval ratings are consistently above 60 percent, about double the rating for the Liberal Democratic Party. She has earned praise for forging close ties with foreign leaders, including Mr. Trump, whom she is set to meet with in Washington next month.

Ms. Takaichi’s choice to call an election so early in her tenure appears to reflect her desire to capitalize on her high levels of support. The decision could have backfired, as it has for other leaders, including President Emmanuel Macron of France, who suffered a stinging blow in snap elections in 2024.

Before the election, Ms. Takaichi promised to step down if the Liberal Democrats did not win a majority.

The China Factor

Ms. Takaichi caused a stir in November when she said that Japan could intervene militarily if China were to attack Taiwan, a self-governed democracy that Beijing claims is part of its territory. The Chinese government unleashed a wave of reprisals, including discouraging tourism to Japan . (Chinese tourists represent more than a fifth of tourists in Japan.)

Her comment broke with a previous policy of avoiding any explicit mention of Taiwan in the context of “survival-threatening situations.” But it seems to have helped Ms. Takaichi win over some voters, including young people, who have shown a willingness to question the nation’s longstanding pacifism.

Ms. Takaichi’s critics say that she has unnecessarily exposed Japan to economic coercion by China and that the dispute could threaten Japan’s access to rare earth minerals from China. Komeito, one of the main opposition parties, called Ms. Takaichi’s remarks “ill advised.”

A Frenetic Campaign

The election cycle that ended on Sunday is one of the shortest in modern Japanese history. Some candidates did not have enough time to print posters, making handmade signs instead. There have also been shortages of trucks equipped with loudspeakers, which candidates and their backers use to broadcast their messages in the streets.

Daisuke Tanaka, who runs a campaign car rental company in Osaka, said he has had to turn down a flood of requests.

“The election came so suddenly,” he said. “For Osaka, it is a crazy situation.”

Some Japanese residents complained about Ms. Takaichi’s decision to call an election in the middle of winter, with many regions grappling with heavy snowfall. The election also fell at a time when tens of thousands of students take university entrance exams, prompting some grumbles from students and parents.

Heavy snowfall forced many polling stations to open late or close early on Sunday, and some opposition politicians expressed concern about the impact on voter turnout.

Hisako Ueno and Kiuko Notoya contributed reporting.

Javier C. Hernández is the Tokyo bureau chief for The Times, leading coverage of Japan and the region. He has reported from Asia for much of the past decade, previously serving as China correspondent in Beijing.

The post Japan’s Leader Is Set for a Big Election Win. Here’s What to Know. appeared first on New York Times.

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