No more math. No more goal differential calculations or need for an advanced physics degree to figure out which third place finishers in groups will play in the knockout rounds, who they’ll play, where they’ll play. For 10 consecutive days, starting Sunday, global soccer fans will be treated to a steady diet of win-or-go-home World Cup games, unspooling in stadiums across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Right through the Rounds of 32 and 16; on July 8th, there’s one day off before the quarters.
On the first day of knockoutpalooza, one of the World Cup co-hosts, Canada, took center stage. Canada was in an unusual, and potentially difficult, spot for its Round of 32 contest against South Africa: it became the first World Cup host country to play a game outside its borders. Canada just needed a draw with Switzerland in its final group stage game, on June 24th in Vancouver, to remain in British Columbia through the Round of 16, should Canada get that far. Instead, Switzerland won 2-1, shuttling the Canadians, who’ve never reached a World Cup elimination round in their two prior appearances, in 1986 and 2022, to Los Angeles.
At least the trip was a straight jaunt down the coast. And all game long, Canada outclassed South Africa, who at times appeared content to hold the ball and take the game to a penalty shootout (earning jeers from the Canada-heavy crowd). Canada doubled South Africa’s shot output, 12-6. Off a late first-half corner kick, a Moïse Bombito header was kicked off the line by South African defender Aubrey Modiba. The rebound pinballed onto the foot of Canada’s Tajon Buchanan, who slammed it towards the post: South African keeper Ronwen Williams body-saved the shot. Moments later, Canada appeared to earn a penalty shot via a violent tackle on Richie Laryea. But the ref swallowed his whistle. As the half came to a close, fiery Canada coach Jesse Marsch had to be restrained by Bombito, lest he say too much to the officials.
In the 75th minute, Canada’s Alphonso Davies, a Bayern Munich standout, came onto the pitch to spark the team: the defender hadn’t played since early May, when he injured a hamstring in a Champions League semifinal. But Canada still couldn’t break through: the game looked headed for this World Cup’s first 30-minute extra time session. But Canada, it turns out, had more dramatic ideas in mind.
In second-half stoppage time, the 92nd minute of the match, a South African player headed a Canada cross out of the box—to the chest of Stephen Eustáquio, one of Canada’s leaders. He touched the ball down and fired from the top of the penalty area, right inside the far post. Williams had no shot at saving it.
Canada sweated out a few more minutes and became the first team to advance to the Round of 16 in this World Cup. In the post-game huddle on the field, Marsch called his players “Canadian heroes.”
“People like to say it’s performative to meet on the pitch, and frankly, I don’t give a sh-t what people have to say,” said Marsch after the game. “All I care about is our own team and what we do together.”
For the first time, Canada will be one of the last 16 teams standing at a World Cup. “It’s going to be a moment where you’re going to know where you were when that moment happened,” says Alistair Johnston, a Canadian defender. “That’s something that is not lost on us. We know that not only is this writing history in Canadian soccer, but in Canadian sport.”
If soccer does wind up reaching hockey-levels of national obsession up north, Marsch, an American, will play a key role. The former Premier League coach was imported in 2024 to engineer such a World Cup run: two weeks before the World Cup, Marsch signed a four-year contract extension to keep him in Canada through the next World Cup in 2030. On the eve of the tournament, Marsch made waves by saying that when he was an assistant with the U.S. national team, “we had to beg players to sing the national anthem” while his Canadian squad was happy to “belt it out to the top of their lungs.” Former U.S. star Clint Dempsey took exception to Marsh’s remarks. “Man, I can’t take this guy too seriously,” Dempsey said.
After a mention of Marsch’s name elicited jeers at a live podcast appearance, Tim Howard, an American goalkeeper who played under Marsch, noted that Marsch was passed over for the U.S. head coaching job for this World Cup. “Jesse loves Jesse,” Howard said. “And he should. He’s a good manager.”
“I’m proud to be American,” Marsch said after the game. “But I do think that the ideals and the characteristics of Canadian people fit me really well. They value kindness, they value generosity, and I think it’s a country that is very welcoming to outsiders, appreciates you for the things you do more than the things you say. Sometimes I know that Americans, we get a certain rap for being boisterous, for being arrogant, for being outwardly vocal. And I know that in many ways that does describe me, or at least people love to describe me that way. But again, I don’t give a sh-t.”
Canada faces the winner of Monday’s Netherlands vs. Morocco game, on July 4th in Houston. “In general, my goal in this tournament, apart from inspiring our nation, was to make a run so that we could get to see one of the giants of the world.” Morocco, which became the first African and Arab nation to reach a World Cup seminal, certainly rates, as does the Netherlands, a three-time World Cup finalist.
It’s the knockout round: Canada knows its path. Book the trip to Texas; no more waiting around for different scenarios to play out. South Africa goes home. Late June, into July, brings welcome World Cup clarity. The summer shakeout has just begun.
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