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Can Trump Sway Another Latin American Election? Here’s What to Know.

June 21, 2026
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Can Trump Sway Another Latin American Election? Here’s What to Know.

Colombians head to the polls on Sunday in the most polarized election in years, with voters choosing between the country’s governing leftist political movement and a Trump-endorsed right-wing outsider.

The vote pits Senator Iván Cepeda, a longtime human rights activist and ally of President Gustavo Petro, the country’s first leftist president, against Abelardo De La Espriella, a former criminal defense lawyer who vows a sweeping crackdown on guerrilla groups and drug-trafficking gangs.

The high-stakes contest has drawn international attention following Mr. De La Espriella’s endorsement by President Trump, who called Mr. Cepeda a “Radical Left Marxist.”

The move marks the latest instance of Mr. Trump endorsing right-wing candidates in Latin American elections as the region increasingly shifts toward the right, driven in part by concerns over rising insecurity.

Who Are the Candidates?

Mr. Cepeda, 63, is a senator and well-known advocate for victims of Colombia’s decades-long armed conflict. He was also part of the negotiations that led to Colombia’s landmark 2016 peace deal with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, or FARC, that was meant to help end that conflict.

Running as the candidate of Mr. Petro’s party, he has pledged to preserve many of his policies, including anti-poverty programs, land redistribution efforts and negotiations with armed groups.

Mr. De La Espriella, 47, is a former high-profile criminal defense lawyer and businessman with no previous political experience and who spent years living in Florida.

Nicknamed “El Tigre,” or “the tiger,” he has campaigned as an anti-establishment outsider, though he has long been close to Colombia’s right-wing political power elites as a lawyer.

Why Has the Vote Spurred Controversy in the United States?

Some of Mr. De La Espriella’s campaign promises echo policies pursued by other Latin American right-wing leaders, such as Nayib Bukele of El Salvador and Javier Milei of Argentina. His platform includes building 10 megaprisons, shrinking the state and collaborating with the United States to combat drug trafficking.

He has also been known to legally pursue his opponents — including journalists. After he received Mr. Trump’s endorsement and the support of some Republican lawmakers, Mr. De La Espriella, a naturalized U.S. citizen, began warning that he would go after anyone who challenged him, with the assistance of the United States.

Last week, Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a memo saying that the presence of a progressive activist living in Arizona, Beto Coral, interfered with U.S. foreign policy after the activist criticized Mr. De La Espriella. Mr. Coral, 40, was detained by U.S. immigration authorities on Tuesday, a move decried by Democrats in Congress and by rights groups.

What Are Voters Focused On?

Along with complaints about Mr. Petro’s rocky four-year-term, voters cite concerns over crime and extortion and the growing power of armed groups in rural areas.

Violence surged even during the campaign, which saw a presidential hopeful assassinated, two De La Espriella campaign workers killed and Mr. Cepeda’s running mate briefly kidnapped.

Critics say Mr. Petro’s flagship “Total Peace” strategy, which sought negotiated settlements with multiple armed groups, allowed those groups to grow stronger during cease-fires.

Humanitarian organizations say violence has reached its highest level since the 2016 peace accord, but Colombia remains far safer than it was during the height of the conflict in the 1980s and 1990s.

While Mr. De La Espriella says he will completely abandon peace talks and crush narco-trafficking groups within 90 days, Mr. Cepeda has said he will continue his own version of peace negotiations.

The election is also seen as a referendum on Mr. Petro’s presidency. Supporters credit his government with expanding social programs, and increasing the political visibility of historically marginalized groups.

But critics say his tenure has been marked not only by deteriorating security, but by a troubled state takeover of the health system and runaway spending that has left Colombia with a public debt that is at pandemic levels.

Why the First Round of Voting Was a Surprise

Mr. De La Espriella finished first in the opening round with 43.7 percent of the vote, compared with 40.9 percent for Mr. Cepeda.

The result surprised many analysts. Despite complaints, Mr. Petro has maintained approval ratings above 50 percent and has created a broad coalition of movements that support the left. Mr. Cepeda enjoyed a comfortable lead in the polls into last month.

Yet many voters instead turned to Mr. De La Espriella, a political newcomer who promised a clean break not only with the left, but with traditional parties and the “same ones as always.”

Since the first round, most polls have shown Mr. De La Espriella holding the lead. However, analysts note that the right-wing candidate’s increasingly strident language has worried more middle-of-the-road Colombians, making it harder to predict whom undecided voters will support.

After May’s first round, Mr. Petro claimed electoral fraud without evidence, raising concerns that he could refuse to accept the results of Sunday’s election or call for protests.

When Are Results Expected?

Polls are open from 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. local time. Preliminary results are expected within hours of the polls closing.

The post Can Trump Sway Another Latin American Election? Here’s What to Know. appeared first on New York Times.

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