Trump support ‘absolutely collapsing’ among group vital to every election win: data guru

President Donald Trump is hemorrhaging support from a crucial voter demographic that backed him in each of his election wins, and a data analyst said that appears to be bleeding sut from the Republican Party.

The 79-year-old president has historically enjoyed solid support from voters without college degrees, but CNN’s Harry Enten said he’s quickly losing that backing a year into his second term.

“If you know anything about Donald Trump, you know that he built his two presidential victories on winning voters without a college degree, while Donald Trump’s base with non-college voters is absolutely collapsing,” Enten said. “What are we talking about here? Well, why don’t we just take a look? Voters without a college degree on Donald Trump, look at this. Back in 2024, he won those voters over Kamala Harris by 14 points.”

“You come over to this side of the screen, what’s his net approval rating with them?” Enten added. “He is underwater by nine points. That’s a 23-point switcheroo with his base of non-college voters. He is absolutely collapsing with the group of voters that helped put him into the White House.”

Enten also presented evidence that the drop in support was carrying over to Trump’s party just months ahead of the November elections.

“You see this drop of 23 points right from plus-14 Trump to now he’s underwater by nine points,” Enten said. “How is that impacting their views on how they’re going to vote for Congress? … Take a look at the 2024 election. Republicans won those voters, those non-college voters, by 13 points. Now they’re just ahead by just one, two, three, four points.”

“When you can count on one hand, you know that you’re in trouble,” Enten added. “If you’re Donald John Trump and the Republican Party, in this case, the Republican Party, when it comes to the voters in Congress, and of course, a four-point lead among non-college voters is not anywhere close to being good enough because Democrats are dominating among voters with a college degree, up by 20 points at this point. The Democratic base with college voters is rising, and the Republican base with non-college voters is collapsing.”