The Hollywood Foreign Press Association, which puts on the Golden Globes, likes to bestow its trophies on films that already have plenty of Oscar momentum, but the small size of the group — around 90 eccentric journalists who vote — leaves every category open to a shock winner.
Then there’s the fact that the H.F.P.A. is also under fire after a raft of recent articles exposed double-dealing practices and an insular membership. There are no Black voters, and that may explain the absence of any of the acclaimed Black-led ensembles like “Da 5 Bloods” and “One Night in Miami” from the best drama nominations.
Will voters respond to the controversies by picking a diverse set of worthy winners, or will the usual Globes anarchy prevail? We asked our awards expert, Kyle Buchanan, and he said he expected a bit of both. Here’s what else he predicted:
— “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” could sweep the comedy categories, with Sacha Baron Cohen and Maria Bakalova, the movie’s breakout star, getting acting trophies as well as the film itself taking home best motion picture, comedy.
— The drama races are tougher to call. “The Trial of the Chicago 7” and “Nomadland” will battle it out for best motion picture, drama, with the edge going to the courtroom tale. For best actress in a drama, Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”) may pull out the victory over Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”).
— But when it comes to best actor in a drama, Chadwick Boseman, nominated for his final performance, in “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom,” is as close to a lock as there is. He’s the front-runner for the Oscars, too.