President Donald Trump appears to be holding relatively steady support among Latino voters compared to his performance in 2016, according to a new poll released Tuesday by Telemundo.
Nationally, 25 percent of Latinos say they would vote to reelect Trump — a slight drop from the 28 percent that most exit polls showed voted for him in 2016 — and 31 percent approve of his job performance. By comparison, 64 percent of Latinos overall say they would vote to replace the president, and 57 percent support impeaching and removing him from office.
Fifty-four percent of Latino respondents who identify as independents said they would vote to replace Trump with a Democrat.
The 25 percent of Latinos who would reelect the president is roughly in line with both Trump’s performance in 2016, and Mitt Romney’s four years earlier. The president has held mostly steady among Latinos despite his harsh anti-immigrant rhetoric and controversial policies such as family separations at the border.
Though the results of Noticias Telemundo’s “State of the Latino Vote Poll — One Year Out” are not favorable to Trump ovderall, his ability to maintain relatively level support among Latinos could prove critical in the 2020 election. A number of Latino leaders have warned Democrats to increase their outreach to Latinos, who are on track to become the largest non-white eligible voting bloc by 2020.
The poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy between Oct. 24 and 28, and has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. (Smaller subgroups have a higher error margin.) The survey questioned 1,000 Latinos via landlines and cell phones, and included a number of questions about immigration.
The poll also found Joe Biden leading the Democratic pack with Latino voters with 26 percent support. He was trailed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 18 percent. Sanders consistently polls well among Latinos, and leads the field in contributions from Latinos. But according the Telemundo poll, nearly two-thirds of Latinos said they wouldn’t vote for a candidate who describes himself as a “socialist.” Sanders identifies as a democratic socialist.
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren came in third with 10 percent. The rest of the field didn’t break double digits. The margin of error for the Democratic primary polling is 4.1 points.
Notably, Telemundo’s poll found 36 percent of Democratic Latinos are undecided in the primary.
Among all respondents, seven in 10 said that Trump’s rhetoric has encouraged anti-immigration sentiment, racism or discrimination in the U.S. And a majority, 54 percent, said Trump’s policy of family separations at the border discourages immigration.